This page has general information about statistics related to those who commit a sexual offence.
To see specific statistics about StopSO clients go to www.stopso.org.uk/statistics-stopso
RE-OFFENDING RATES OF SEX OFFENDERS, TO COMMIT A FURTHER SEXUAL OFFENCE IS SURPRISINGLY LOW – AT ONLY 2% (WITHIN ONE YEAR)
The likelihood of a sex offender being reconvicted for another sexual offence is surprisingly low. According to the Ministry of Justice looking at figures for reoffending rates to March 2015, for theft, the reconviction rate within a year is 42%. Whereas for sex offenders to commit a further sexual offence within a year it is 2%. Karl Hanson, Senior Research Officer with Public Safety Canada and one of the leading researchers in the field of sexual offender risk assessment and treatment, confirmed this recently in a personal email (May 12, 2017)
“Out of 100 individuals released from a sexual offence conviction in the UK, between 2 and 3 will be reconvicted for another sexual offence within 2 years, and 97 to98 will not. If the follow-up period is extended to 4 years, an additional 2 to 3 individuals will be reconvicted, bringing the 4 year sexual reconviction rate to 5.5%. In other words, if 100 individuals with a sexual offence conviction are followed for 4 years, 5 or 6 of these will be reconvicted for a sexual offence and 94 to 95 will not. These figures are from page 454 in the UK Risk Matrix Validation Study 2010. These figures are similar to rates found in other countries during the past 10 – 15 years.
Barnett, G. D., Wakeling, H. C., & Howard, P. D. (2010). An Examination of the Predictive Validity of the Risk Matrix 2000 in England and Wales. Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment, 22(4), 443-470. doi:10.1177/1079063210384274